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pmip3:design:lm:final [2009/12/21 20:48]
pasb
pmip3:design:lm:final [2009/12/21 22:27]
gavin
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 <​html><​a name="​page_top_tag">&​nbsp</​a></​html>​ <​html><​a name="​page_top_tag">&​nbsp</​a></​html>​
-//Go to =>// [ [[pmip3:​design:​pi:​final|PI]] ] - [ [[pmip3:​design:​6k:​final|6ka]] ] - [ [[pmip3:​design:​21ka:​final|21ka]] ] - [ **LM** ]+//Go to =>// [ [[pmip3:​design:​pi:​final|PI]] ] - [ [[pmip3:​design:​6k:​final|6ka]] ] - [ [[pmip3:​design:​21k:​final|21ka]] ] - [ **LM** ]
  
  
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 ==== Total Solar Irradiance ==== ==== Total Solar Irradiance ====
  
 +Multiple reconstructions of annual total solar irradiance are provided. These are designed to either fit smoothly with the reconstructions used in the post-1850 CMIP5 simulations (Wang, Lean and Sheely (2005)), or to explore independent estimates of the long term solar trends. Each series has an 11 year solar cycle throughout the time series (synthetic for pre-1610, based on a relationship between cycle magnitude and long-term TSI) and comes with an estimate of the spectral changes (as a function of the TSI anomaly). Each reconstruction is calibrated to the WLS modern values.
  
-The following figure ​(click to get the full-size imagehas been provided by [[johann.jungclaus@zmaw.de|Johann Jungclaus]] (MPI-M Hamburg)+=== Wang, Lean and Sheely ​(WLS): 1610-2000 CE ===
  
-{{:​pmip3:​design:​lm:​xsolarpag.png?​500|Click ​to get the full-size image}}+Spectral reconstruction based on a flux transport model of the open and closed flux using the observed sunspot record as the main inputThis comes in two versions, A) a "​no-background"​ version that just has TSI variations similar ​to that seen over a solar cycle today, and B) a "with background"​ version with longer term trends in the solar minimum. ​  
  
-Time series of TSI (Wm-2) from 800AD to 2000For the COSMOS (MPI-M) +Lean J, [[http://​www.geo.fu-berlin.de/​en/​met/​ag/​strat/​forschung/​SOLARIS/​Input_data/​Calculations_of_Solar_Irradiance.pdf | "​Calculations of Solar Irradiance"​ ]]
-Millennium simulations (black curve), a 11 year cycle was added for consistency over the +
-entire period.+
  
-Notes: We will impose an 11 year cycle on pre-sunspot reconstructions for consistency of the spectrum of natural variabilityAdditionallywe will give a spectral set of irradiance changes based on modern variability observed by satellite (Lean). ​+Wang, Y.-M., J. L. Lean, and N. R. Sheeley, Jr. (2005), Modeling the Sun’s Magnetic Field and Irradiance since 1713, ApJ, 625, 522–538, doi:​10.1086/​429689.
  
-Candidate ​reconstructions:​ Krivova, Steinhilber, ​new Bard?, (TBD)+=== Delaygue and Bard (DB): 850-1609 CE === 
 + 
 +Reconstruction based on an Antarctica stack of 10Be records scaled linearly to the modern-to-Maunder Minimum TSI in the two WLS reconstructions.  
 + 
 +Delaygue, G and E. Bard, (2009), Solar forcing based on Be-10 in Antarctica ice over the past millennium and beyond, EGU 2009 General Assembly, [[http://​meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/​EGU2009/​EGU2009-6943.pdf | #​EGU2009-6943]] 
 + 
 +=== Muscheler, Joos, Beer, Müller, Vonmoos and Snowball (MEA): 850-1609 CE === 
 + 
 +Reconstruction based on the 14C record scaled based on an inverse regression to the two WLS reconstructions.  
 + 
 +Muscheler, R., F. Joos, J. Beer, S.A. Müller, M. Vonmoos, and I. Snowball (2007), Solar activity during the last 1000 yr inferred from radionuclide records Quaternary Science Reviews, Vol. 26, pp. 82-97. doi:​10.1016/​j.quascirev.2006.07.012 
 + 
 +=== Vieira, ​Krivova ​and Solanki (VK): 850-1849 CE === 
 + 
 +Reconstruction based on a model of the open and closed magnetic flux including an estimate of the 11 yr cycle. We recommend patching this into the WLS w/​background values in 1850. 
 + 
 +VieiraL.E.A., and S. Solanki (2009), Evolution of the solar magnetic flux on time scales of years to millenia, arXiv/​0911.4396,​ doi:​10.1051/​0004-6361/​200913276  
 + 
 +=== Steinhilber, ​Beerand Frohlich ​(SBF): 850-1849 CE === 
 + 
 +Reconstruction based on a Greenland 10Be core and a different model of solar flux. 11yr cycle is synthetic. We recommend patching this into the WLS w/​background values in 1850. 
 + 
 +Steinhilber,​ F., J. Beer, and C. Frohlich (2009), Total solar irradiance during the Holocene, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L19704, doi:​10.1029/​2009GL040142.
  
 ==== Volcanic Forcings ==== ==== Volcanic Forcings ====
pmip3/design/lm/final.txt · Last modified: 2014/10/02 20:05 by kaplan