===== Focus of the P2F Working group =====

 Aims and Scope v2.0, June 2014, resulting from the PMIP3 meeting, 25-30 May 2014, Namur, Belgium.

==== The P2F challenge ====

To use paleoclimate information to improve predictions of climate change

==== Strategy - methodology ====

  - Identify and document quantitative relationships between past and future runs and check consistency with available observations.
  - Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change.
  - Identify whether underlying mechanisms between past and future changes are the same.

* Code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others
==== Targets ====

  - Estimating future climate by exploring information from multiple PMIP intervals.
  - Exploring divergent estimates of climate sensitivity - towards reconciliation.
  - Predicting regional climate change - beyond climate sensitivity

* More targets? This is open to development later.


==== Other things ====

* Considerable interaction with the rest of PMIP will be required.
  * Model and data from all intervals needs to be publicly available.
  * P2F analyses focus on quantitative methodologies so will require input from process based experts

* Dan Lunt has funds to host a workshop in the UK on Past to Future, sometime in the next couple of years.