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pmip3:wg:p2f:papers [2017/02/13 17:14]
jules
pmip3:wg:p2f:papers [2017/02/13 17:18]
jules [How well do simulated last glacial maximum tropical temperatures constrain equilibrium climate sensitivity?]
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 Short summary ''​The mid-Pliocene Warm Period, 3 million years ago, was the most recent interval with high greenhouse gases. By modelling the period with the same models used for future projections,​ we can link the past and future climates. Here we use data from the mid-Pliocene to produce a tentative result for equilibrium climate sensitivity. We show that there are considerable uncertainties that strongly influence the result, but we are optimistic that these may be reduced in the next few years.''​ Short summary ''​The mid-Pliocene Warm Period, 3 million years ago, was the most recent interval with high greenhouse gases. By modelling the period with the same models used for future projections,​ we can link the past and future climates. Here we use data from the mid-Pliocene to produce a tentative result for equilibrium climate sensitivity. We show that there are considerable uncertainties that strongly influence the result, but we are optimistic that these may be reduced in the next few years.''​
 +
 +==== How well do simulated last glacial maximum tropical temperatures constrain equilibrium climate sensitivity?​ ====
 +P.O. Hopcroft and P.J. Valdes, ​ Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 5533–5539,​ doi:​10.1002/​2015GL064903.
 +http://​onlinelibrary.wiley.com/​doi/​10.1002/​2015GL064903/​full
 +
 +''​KEY POINTS: New LGM simulations''​ [CMIP5/​PMIP3] ''​show no tropical temperature to climate sensitivity relation. This is caused by a model complexity, especially due to Earth System components. It is unclear how inferred ECS will change as more model components are included''​
  
 ==== Last glacial maximum constraints on the Earth System model HadGEM2-ES ==== ==== Last glacial maximum constraints on the Earth System model HadGEM2-ES ====
pmip3/wg/p2f/papers.txt · Last modified: 2017/06/07 09:08 by jules