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- | /* ~~DISCUSSION~~ */ | + | |
+ | ~~DISCUSSION~~ | ||
- | ====== PMIP3 WG - Pre-Pliocene climates ====== | + | ====== PMIP3 WG - Deep-time Model-data Intercomparison Project - "DeepMIP" ====== |
<note info>\\ Contact: [[d.j.lunt@bristol.ac.uk|Dan Lunt]], [[ottobli@ucar.edu|Bette Otto-Bliesner]]</note> | <note info>\\ Contact: [[d.j.lunt@bristol.ac.uk|Dan Lunt]], [[ottobli@ucar.edu|Bette Otto-Bliesner]]</note> | ||
- | ===== Group description ===== | + | DeepMIP now has its [[http://www.deepmip.org|own webpage]]!! |
- | * To carry out coordinated model simulations of pre-Pliocene time periods, to address key scientific questions related to key intervals, and to evaluate the models by comparisons with palaeo data. | ||
- | * To leverage funding for pre-Pliocene climate modelling through coordinated projects. | ||
- | * To contribute to the IPCC if appropriate. | ||
- | ===== Questions to be addressed ===== | ||
- | __What are the key scientific questions?__ | ||
- | * //GF: Efficacy of fast feedbacks in a warm world? What feedbacks that operate in warm climates that done operate in more equitable climes? E.g. are their hidden feedbacks and/or sudden jumps in feedback efficacy that lie in wait as we warm the world toward Eocene conditions? Background climate state dependency of feedbacks etc.// | ||
- | __What time periods should we target?__ | ||
- | * //GF: We need a big signal and lots of data coverage. Time periods that are easy to spot in the record and have lots (ish) of data already are Eocene climatic optimum, middle Eocene climatic optimum, PETM.// | ||
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- | __What is needed for experimental design – paleogeographies and CO2 primarily – what datasets can we use?__ | ||
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- | __What are the best datasets for model-data comparisons, and how can these be improved?__ | ||
- | * //GF: More SST and MAT for terrestrial no doubt needed, and CO2 data.// | ||
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- | __What are the best methodologies for model-data comparisons (close collaboration with the [[pmip3:wg:p2f:index|Past2Future]] working group)__ | ||
- | * //GF: I think a radical way to do this would be to move away from simple difference to modern type studies that have been done to date, instead we could try to look across a number of natural warming events and see whether the models capture the warming the geological record shows. So for instance, pre, peak and post PETM, MECO and EECO - do the models show similar trajectories to the data? CO2 would be much better constrained this way and so will the SSTs (e.g. most of the TEX86 uncertainty in your Eocene paper is due to calibration, for these shorter time periods you could use delta T change which is largely independent of calibration).// | ||
- | ===== Members ===== | ||
- | |||
- | Catherine Bradshaw\\ | ||
- | Tom Dunkley Jones\\ | ||
- | Alex Farnsworth\\ | ||
- | Gavin Foster\\ | ||
- | Sheri Fritz\\ | ||
- | Julia Hargreaves\\ | ||
- | Nicholas Herold\\ | ||
- | Chris Hollis\\ | ||
- | Petra Langebroek\\ | ||
- | David Lea\\ | ||
- | Carrie Lear\\ | ||
- | Dan Lunt\\ | ||
- | Uwe Mikolajewicz\\ | ||
- | David Naafs\\ | ||
- | Bette Otto-Bliesner\\ | ||
- | Rich Pancost\\ | ||
- | Chris Poulsen\\ | ||
- | Matthias Prange\\ | ||
- | Martin Tranter\\ | ||
- | Aradhna Tripati\\ | ||
- | Jonny Williams\\ | ||
- | Arne Winguth\\ | ||
- | Jim Zachos\\ | ||
- | Richard Zeebe\\ | ||
- | ===== Meetings ===== | ||
- | * Informal meeting at AGU 2013. | ||
- | * Namur, Belgium, 2014 | ||
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- | ===== Name suggestions ===== | ||
- | Tertiary PMIP "(TerMIP)"\\ | ||
- | Deep Time PMIP Working Group "(DeepMIP)"\\ | ||
- | 5Ma+ PMIP Working Group? "(5MaMIP or 5Ma+MIP)"\\ | ||
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