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Last Millennium Experimental Design

This was a BC development page (see discussion panel at the end of the page)

Make sure you use the final version of the LM BC!

The basic principle is that we should strive to include all relevant transient forcings over this period if the functionality exists in the model, noting that conformability with the CMIP5 controls and 20th Century transient is crucial.

Boundary conditions

Summary of Last Millennium boundary conditions

PMIP3 Alternative solution
Orbital parameters Annually varying
Table provided (0-2100 CE/AD), if not internally calculated
1850 values
[ ecc = 0.01676 ]
[ obl = 23.459° ]
[ peri-180° = 100.327° ]
or same as Pre-Ind CMIP5 control
Date of vernal equinox Mar 21 hr 0 same as CMIP5 control
Trace gases Annually varying (850-1850) (Table provided) constant at CMIP5 control levels
[ CO2 = ppm ]
[ CH4 = ppb ]
[ N2O = ppb ]
[ CFC = ]
[ O3 = ]
Volcanic Aerosols Multiple reconstructions (of AOD, Effective Radius, Mass)
Solar irradiance Multiple reconstructions (default TBD)
Ozone solar related variations (parameterised as function of change in solar irradiance - Drew Shindell) same as pre-Ind control
Aerosols biomass burning changes???? same as pre-Ind control
Vegetation Land use conversion (forests to C3/C4 crops) (Pongratz, 2009, Foley and Ramunkutty)
Available from WDCC-Hamburg
(http://cera-www.dkrz.de/WDCC/ui/Entry.jsp?acronym=LAND_COV_scen_800_1699)
No change from Pre-Ind control
Ice sheets No changes from Pre-Ind control
Topography and coastlines No change from Pre-Ind control

Please use the discussion panel to comment this table!

Initial conditions

Additional information

Total Solar Irradiance

The following figure (click to get the full-size image) has been provided by Johann Jungclaus (MPI-M Hamburg)

Click to get the full-size image

Time series of TSI (Wm-2) from 800AD to 2000. For the COSMOS (MPI-M) Millennium simulations (black curve), a 11 year cycle was added for consistency over the entire period.

Notes: We will impose an 11 year cycle on pre-sunspot reconstructions for consistency of the spectrum of natural variability. Additionally, we will give a spectral set of irradiance changes based on modern variability observed by satellite (Lean).

Candidate reconstructions: Krivova, Steinhilber, new Bard?, (TBD)

Volcanic Forcings

Issues: compatability of eff. rad, zonality, height distribution with modern satellite (Sato) data.

Candidate datasets: Crowley, Ammann - differences in thresholds for significant eruptions, peak forcing etc. Need merged/consistent fields. (Ammann)

Reconstructed evolution of trace gases

The evolution of CO2, CH2, N2O over past 2 millennia table has been provided by Fortunat Joos (University of Bern). Methods and references are provided in the downloadable file.

Orbital forcing

The following orbital parameters parameters should be used, if they are not internally calculated.

Note: calculation from Berger (1978), annually varying.

Precomputed table

The parameters' table has been supplied by Gavin Schmidt (GISS).

Linear regressions

Over the period 0-2100 CE, the parameters are well approximated by the following linear regressions:

Parameter Linear approximation
ECC 0.017475 - 0.000000382 * Year
OBL 23.697 - 0.000128 * Year
PERI-180 68.79 + 0.0170 * Year





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