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pmip3:wg:p2f:aims_and_scope_v2.0
Table of Contents
Focus of the P2F Working group
Aims and Scope v2.0, June 2014, resulting from the PMIP3 meeting, 25-30 May 2014, Namur, Belgium.
The P2F challenge
To use paleoclimate information to improve predictions of climate change
Strategy - methodology
- Identify and document quantitative relationships between past and future runs and check consistency with available observations.
- Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change.
- Identify whether underlying mechanisms between past and future changes are the same.
* Code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others
Targets
- Estimating future climate by exploring information from multiple PMIP intervals.
- Exploring divergent estimates of climate sensitivity - towards reconciliation.
- Predicting regional climate change - beyond climate sensitivity
* More targets? This is open to development later.
Other things
* Considerable interaction with the rest of PMIP will be required.
- Model and data from all intervals needs to be publicly available.
- P2F analyses focus on quantitative methodologies so will require input from process based experts
* Dan Lunt has funds to host a workshop in the UK on Past to Future, sometime in the next couple of years.
pmip3/wg/p2f/aims_and_scope_v2.0.txt · Last modified: 2014/07/21 14:48 by jules