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pmip3:wg:p2f:aims_and_scope_v2.0 [2014/07/21 14:48] (current)
jules created
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 +===== Focus of the P2F Working group =====
 +
 + Aims and Scope v2.0, June 2014, resulting from the PMIP3 meeting, 25-30 May 2014, Namur, Belgium.
 +
 +==== The P2F challenge ====
 +
 +To use paleoclimate information to improve predictions of climate change
 +
 +==== Strategy - methodology ====
 +
 +  - Identify and document quantitative relationships between past and future runs and check consistency with available observations.
 +  - Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change.
 +  - Identify whether underlying mechanisms between past and future changes are the same.
 +
 +* Code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others
 +==== Targets ====
 +
 +  - Estimating future climate by exploring information from multiple PMIP intervals.
 +  - Exploring divergent estimates of climate sensitivity - towards reconciliation.
 +  - Predicting regional climate change - beyond climate sensitivity
 +
 +* More targets? This is open to development later.

 +
 +==== Other things ====
 +
 +* Considerable interaction with the rest of PMIP will be required.
 +  * Model and data from all intervals needs to be publicly available.
 +  * P2F analyses focus on quantitative methodologies so will require input from process based experts
 +
 +* Dan Lunt has funds to host a workshop in the UK on Past to Future, sometime in the next couple of years.
  
pmip3/wg/p2f/aims_and_scope_v2.0.txt · Last modified: 2014/07/21 14:48 by jules