Differences

This shows you the differences between two versions of the page.

@@ Line 1: / Line 1: @@
+===== Focus of the P2F Working group =====
+ Aims and Scope v2.0, June 2014, resulting from the PMIP3 meeting, 25-30 May 2014, Namur, Belgium.
+==== The P2F challenge ====
+To use paleoclimate information to improve predictions of climate change
+==== Strategy - methodology ====
+  - Identify and document quantitative relationships between past and future runs and check consistency with available observations.
+  - Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change.
+  - Identify whether underlying mechanisms between past and future changes are the same.
+* Code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others
+==== Targets ====
+  - Estimating future climate by exploring information from multiple PMIP intervals.
+  - Exploring divergent estimates of climate sensitivity - towards reconciliation.
+  - Predicting regional climate change - beyond climate sensitivity
+* More targets? This is open to development later.
+==== Other things ====
+* Considerable interaction with the rest of PMIP will be required.
+  * Model and data from all intervals needs to be publicly available.
+  * P2F analyses focus on quantitative methodologies so will require input from process based experts
+* Dan Lunt has funds to host a workshop in the UK on Past to Future, sometime in the next couple of years.

PMIP3 wiki