pmip3:wg:p2f:aims_and_scope_v2.0
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+ | ===== Focus of the P2F Working group ===== | ||
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+ | Aims and Scope v2.0, June 2014, resulting from the PMIP3 meeting, 25-30 May 2014, Namur, Belgium. | ||
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+ | ==== The P2F challenge ==== | ||
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+ | To use paleoclimate information to improve predictions of climate change | ||
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+ | ==== Strategy - methodology ==== | ||
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+ | - Identify and document quantitative relationships between past and future runs and check consistency with available observations. | ||
+ | - Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change. | ||
+ | - Identify whether underlying mechanisms between past and future changes are the same. | ||
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+ | * Code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others | ||
+ | ==== Targets ==== | ||
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+ | - Estimating future climate by exploring information from multiple PMIP intervals. | ||
+ | - Exploring divergent estimates of climate sensitivity - towards reconciliation. | ||
+ | - Predicting regional climate change - beyond climate sensitivity | ||
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+ | * More targets? This is open to development later. | ||
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+ | ==== Other things ==== | ||
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+ | * Considerable interaction with the rest of PMIP will be required. | ||
+ | * Model and data from all intervals needs to be publicly available. | ||
+ | * P2F analyses focus on quantitative methodologies so will require input from process based experts | ||
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+ | * Dan Lunt has funds to host a workshop in the UK on Past to Future, sometime in the next couple of years. | ||
pmip3/wg/p2f/aims_and_scope_v2.0.txt · Last modified: 2014/07/21 14:48 by jules