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+ | ===== Focus of the P2F Working group ===== | ||
+ | Aims and Scope v2.1, July 2014. Compared to v2.0, the strategy has been slightly revised to include consideration of processes and explicitly include comparison with data. | ||
+ | See below in Previous Aims and Scopes section for v2.0, June 2014, which resulted from the PMIP3 meeting, 25-30 May 2014, Namur, Belgium. | ||
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+ | ==== The P2F challenge ==== | ||
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+ | To use paleoclimate information to improve predictions of climate change | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==== Strategy - methodology ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | - Identify and document quantitative relationships between past and future runs and check consistency with available observations. | ||
+ | - Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change. | ||
+ | - Identify whether underlying mechanisms between past and future changes are the same. | ||
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+ | * Code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others | ||
+ | ==== Targets ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | - Estimating future climate by exploring information from multiple PMIP intervals. | ||
+ | - Exploring divergent estimates of climate sensitivity - towards reconciliation. | ||
+ | - Predicting regional climate change - beyond climate sensitivity | ||
+ | |||
+ | * More targets? This is open to development later. | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==== Other things ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | * Considerable interaction with the rest of PMIP will be required. | ||
+ | * Model and data from all intervals needs to be publicly available. | ||
+ | * P2F analyses focus on quantitative methodologies so will require input from process based experts | ||
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+ | |||
+ | ===== Previous Aims and Scope documents ===== | ||
+ | |||
+ | [[Aims_and_Scope_v1.0|Aims and Scope (v1.0)]] of the P2F working group. | ||
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+ | [[Aims_and_Scope_v2.0|Aims and Scope (v2.0)]] of the P2F working group, June 2014. | ||
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+ | /* ~~DISCUSSION~~ */ | ||
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+ | /* standard page footer */ | ||
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+ | \\ \\ \\ | ||
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