Focus of the P2F Working group
Aims and Scope v2.1, July 2014. Compared to v2.0, the strategy has been slightly revised to include consideration of processes and explicitly include comparison with data.
See below in Previous Aims and Scopes section for v2.0, June 2014, which resulted from the PMIP3 meeting, 25-30 May 2014, Namur, Belgium.
The P2F challenge
To use paleoclimate information to improve predictions of climate change
Strategy - methodology
Identify and document quantitative relationships between past and future runs and check consistency with available observations.
Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change.
Identify whether underlying mechanisms between past and future changes are the same.
* Code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others
Estimating future climate by exploring information from multiple PMIP intervals.
Exploring divergent estimates of climate sensitivity - towards reconciliation.
Predicting regional climate change - beyond climate sensitivity
* More targets? This is open to development later.
* Considerable interaction with the rest of PMIP will be required.
Previous Aims and Scope documents